Ainslie Daily News

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Tonight’s the Night – Will the Fed Blink?

Posted | 19-Dec-2018 / Views | 416
There is just one show in town tonight and that is the FOMC meeting of the US Fed.  Will or won’t they hike and if they hike will they say that’s the last for a while.  Simple options but huge implications. Only a month or so ago a 0.25% hike tonight seemed almost certain.  Since then we have seen a deteriorating globa... Read More...

54.9% Gain For ETH:USD Pair With AI

Posted | 18-Dec-2018 / Views | 272
Here's our latest Ainslie Intelligence Trading Signals video. Discussing the success of the previous week! You can find out more - ai.ainsliewealth.com.au < If you prefer just audio - you can listen here: ... Read More...

Gold – A Perfect Storm For 2019

Posted | 17-Dec-2018 / Views | 981
Industry stalwart Alasdair Macleod needs no introduction.  Visitors to our office have seen him on one of the video’s playing in the waiting room.  As we draw toward the end of this year, he has just penned an article titled Gold – A Perfect Storm For 2019.  It’s long, so we will start with the conclusion for those ... Read More...

Corporate Bonds Send Warning

Posted | 14-Dec-2018 / Views | 871
Yesterday we discussed the effects of QE, now being unwound as QT, part of which was starving the market of yield and forcing it to look elsewhere for income.  One of those channels was corporate bonds.   From 2008 to today the US corporate bond market has more than doubled from $3.2 trillion to over $7 trillion.  Higher yields of... Read More...

The US Fed is Insolvent

Posted | 13-Dec-2018 / Views | 1023
Quite the headline yeah?  Right now it is technically true but you aren’t really seeing any headlines to this effect elsewhere despite this being both the world’s largest central bank and the custodian of the world’s reserve currency.  So why is that? First let’s look at the setup.  Regular readers know tha... Read More...

Australia’s “Uncharted Territory”

Posted | 12-Dec-2018 / Views | 856
RBA Deputy Governor, Guy Debelle, this week described the bank as being in “uncharted territory” as it grapples with how to respond to the paradox of falling house prices against solid employment and reasonable economic growth. The latter took a hit last week when the Q3 GDP print demonstrably missed expectations at just 2.8% against... Read More...

BTC, ETH, and XRP Now Available in US Dollars on AI

Posted | 11-Dec-2018 / Views | 607
Here's our latest Ainslie Intelligence Trading Signals video. Discussing the release of our new pairs and the success of the previous week! You can find out more - ai.ainsliewealth.com.au < If you prefer just audio - you can listen here: ... Read More...

ETF’s Flows Positive BUT dwarfed by China

Posted | 10-Dec-2018 / Views | 667
2018 has been notable for the outflows of gold from North American gold ETF’s (Exchange Traded Funds) offset by increases in Europe and Asia.  That’s not an enormous surprise as the US sharemarket has (until the last month or so) been rising strongly amid the perception the US economy was somehow different to the rest of the world.... Read More...

Canary in the Coal Mine is Dead

Posted | 07-Dec-2018 / Views | 1434
What another fascinating night on Wall St!  At one stage the Dow was down nearly 800 points on some awful manufacturing and housing data, added trade fears with the Huawei saga spooking markets, Russia not agreeing to cut oil production and the Brexit outcome looking decidedly scary.  But right on cue, and probably spurred on by a Euro cl... Read More...

What the Yield Curve Inversion Means

Posted | 06-Dec-2018 / Views | 715
Financial markets commentary is still abuzz with speculation about what the inversion of the US Treasury yield curve means as we covered briefly yesterday. Last night the US public holiday gave Wall St a rest from the big falls the night before but gold and silver continued to rally.   Today we look a bit deeper at the yield curve issue.&nb... Read More...